The rare Bitcoin MVRV event is a good foreshadowing for a long-term outlook – this is why

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4 Min Read
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As the Crypto Bull Run revival continues, Bitcoin has hit a new all-time high (ATH) of over $111,000. Since then, the best cryptocurrencies have experienced some retracements that have been heavily driven by the US government’s announcement of potential new trade tariffs, but investors have made up for the success of previous ATs and have strongly shown the continuation of the current upward trend.

Interestingly, Crypto analyst Bilalhuseynov observed an unusual development of market value and realised value ratio (MVRV), which shows a positive difference from other Bull Cycles.

Bitcoin MVRV will remain at 2.4 in the new ATH. What does this mean?

In a quick take post on May 23rd, Bilalhusenov shares interesting insights into the Bitcoin market after the recent development of the chain. Notably, the best cryptocurrencies reached a new all-time high of $111,970 on May 22nd, eventually confirming the effectiveness of the current Bull Cycle.

In this bullish development, Bilalhuseynov notes an unusual event in that the MVRV ratio failed to reach the associated peak number when setting a new ATH in the previous bull cycle. In the context, MVRV measures the value of all Bitcoin at the cap that achieved the market capitalization of Bitcoin, i.e. at the last point of the purchase. MVRV ratios above 1 suggest an overestimation and are used to indicate a trend reversal, but the diagram below shows an underestimation.

Bitcoin
Source: Cryptoquant

According to Bilalhuseynov, when Bitcoin achieved new ATHs in the Bull Cycle in 2013, 2017 and 2021, the MVRV ratio reached a high of between 3.5-4.0. However, following a $109,000 solar eclipse, the MVRV ratio reached a peak of 2.4. Crypto analysts explain that a decrease in MVRV count can be linked to an unbalanced increase in realisation cap compared to market capitalization. This development can be attributed to the fact that large quantities of circular Bitcoin exchange hands at a higher price, thereby becoming a higher cost base.

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Interestingly, Bilalhuseynov explains that this extraordinary development is a positive signal for the long-term development of Bitcoin. Furthermore, stronger market hands, namely long-term holders and institutional holders, may be part of this new investor, suggesting long-term market trust without urgent profits.

BTC price overview

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $108,397, following retracements over the past few days. The best cryptocurrencies have fallen 2.50% in the past day, but have risen 17.65% in the past month.

Bitcoin
BTC trading for $108,238 on daily charts | Source: BTCUSDT chart at tradingView.com

Pexels featured images, TradingView charts

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