Will Bitcoin (BTC) be at its maximum cycle or will there be more uploads? That’s the problem that many investors are creating.
According to the Weiss Crypto Analysis company, Gold is a key signal. This is because precious metals have proven in the past to be a sophisticated indicator of Bitcoin’s price for months, especially at major market moments.
The company argues that by analyzing the performance of both assets since 2018, it is clear that “the important minimum of gold typically precedes the minimum of Bitcoin.” For example, in August 2018, gold fell sharply. Also, as seen in the following graph, BTC played the background in December of that year.
A similar situation occurred in the next cycle. When Bitcoin reached its historic maximum in November 2021, Gold had already stopped marking new maximums. Used as an early warning for fixes. This is better:
In the current scenario, Weiss Crypto estimates that Bitcoin could reach a new peak at the end of November 2025. This projection is based on a unique model that combines technical analysis with historical data. In his opinion, if the employer is maintained, the current upward cycle could grow at least three months.
However, the behavior of money over the next few months will be important. If metal exceeds the maximum April month of April, which is close to $3,450 per ounce, it can be pointed out that Bitcoin has space to climb until 2026. Instead, if the money starts to weaken, It may be an early indication that the upward cycle is about to be exhausted.
The above adds that the current situation is not the same as in the previous cycle, as there was a war and armed conflict in which the relationship between Bitcoin and gold was “temporarily invested” due to macroeconomic turmoil.
So far, Gold has been highly rated at over 25%. The training view graph below shows that gold prices remain bullish, with a 14-day RSI of 54.71, neutral level, showing that there is room for further increase without overwhelmingly entering.
Additionally, RSI increases the mobile average (yellow line), suggesting an updated impulse. If prices break the latest biggest, the promotion may continue. However, if the RSI falls below average, it may indicate loss of intensity.
Greater demand for hard assets
The Wyscript approach coincides with an analysis of investor Charles Edwards, founder of Capriol Investment. Factors that could boost Bitcoin and Gold.
Among these, high inflation rates recorded in recent years, freezes of foreign reserves from countries such as Russia and commercial disputes between global authority. These elements They have driven greater demand for alternative and diversified assets; como bitcoin.
Edwards suggests that if the trend is maintained, Bitcoin could reach USD 150,000 towards the end of 2025, but the authors warn it. Variables such as geopolitical tension can change the scenario.
In parallel, the Vaneck Investments company also supports upward papers on Bitcoin. The company shows that digital currency offers structural advantages over gold as a value reserve. Among them, Bitcoin’s dependency stands out, with transactional transparency and rarity programming ensuring up to 21 million units issued.
Vanek presents numbers that reinforce this vision. Until June 30, 2025, Bitcoin shows a accumulated return of 35,000% over 10 years. In short conditions, profitability was also important. Last year, 122% were 99% in three years, and over 1,200% for five people.
The company says Bitcoin has increased volatility, but controlled allocations in traditional portfolios can improve performance tailored to risk. He further points out that in high inflation environments or financial expansions, assets provide compensation that is independent of central authorities.
Meanwhile, the geopolitical use of Bitcoin was also found to be grounds. Since 2022, Russia has increased its use of cryptographic actions in foreign trade, in part in response to financial sanctions, as reported by Cryptoics. This situation has strengthened the Bitcoin narrative as a tool to avoid restrictions and maintain value in an unfavourable context.
Analysts agree that they need to carefully observe gold’s actions for the rest of the year. As the pattern of the previous cycle repeats, metal movements over the coming months can predict not only the roof of Bitcoin, but also the start of a new crypto winter.