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Ethereum is solid after the drop, but resistance remains strong
Ethereum’s record staking queue looks bullish, but one giant company is secretly distorting the real signal
Ethereum’s record staking queue looks bullish, but one giant company is secretly distorting the real signal
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Crypto Prune > News > Crypto > Ethereum > Ethereum’s record staking queue looks bullish, but one giant company is secretly distorting the real signal
Ethereum

Ethereum’s record staking queue looks bullish, but one giant company is secretly distorting the real signal

4 hours ago 8 Min Read

A single corporate treasury has effectively taken over Ethereum’s validator mechanism and executed a multibillion-dollar operation that reversed the network’s flow of data from a steady stream of data to a sudden gridlock.

For the first time in six months, the queue to stake ETH, which locks up tokens to secure the blockchain in exchange for yield, significantly outnumbered the queue to exit.

Data compiled by the Ethereum Validator Queue tracker shows that approximately 734,299 ETH is waiting for entry, suggesting a forced delay of nearly two weeks before these coins start earning rewards. By comparison, there is approximately 343,179 ETH in the exit queue with a 6-day lag.

Ethereum Validator Queue (Source: Validator Queue)

On the surface, this data suggests a broad resurgence in investor sentiment, a bullish signal for proof-of-stake networks where participation is often interpreted as a proxy for long-term confidence.

However, a closer look at on-chain flows reveals a more intensive reality. Almost half of the total entry backlog, 342,560 ETH, comes from a single entity: BitMine, the largest public ETH holding company.

The aggressive entry of digital asset treasury companies over the past 48 hours distorted the signal and masked a still cautious market environment.

While the validator line is certainly rising, the “crowd” is likely a lone whale creating a wake that is only followed by retailers and small institutional investors.

For traders and analysts, distinguishing between broad natural demands and idiosyncratic corporate financial management has become a major challenge during holiday trading sessions.

Thawing of regulations

Although BitMine is dominating flows for the time being, the movement is not happening in a vacuum.

This coincides with a pivotal change in the regulatory environment that will fundamentally reduce the risk of staking for US institutions.

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In a landmark clarification earlier this year, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) stated that liquid staking activities, particularly the receipt of tokens representing staked assets, do not constitute trading in securities unless the provider takes administrative efforts.

This was followed by the IRS and Treasury Department issuing Revenue Procedure 2025-31 in November. This guidance created a “safe harbor” for exchange-traded investment products (ETPs) and trusts, allowing them to stake digital assets without jeopardizing their tax status as grantor trusts.

Asset manager Grayscale said these two policy changes effectively greenlighted a new era in product structures.

In a recent note to clients, the company’s analysts argued that the staking capabilities of crypto ETPs will likely result in them becoming the default structure for holding investment positions in proof-of-stake tokens.

As such, the company predicts that custodial staking via ETPs will become a bifurcated market, capturing passive bids and putting pressure on reward rates. In contrast, on-chain liquid staking retains the benefits of composability within DeFi.

This regulatory clarity explains why capital is moving now. The “intra-organizational pipeline” is no longer blocked by compliance ambiguities.

As a result, in the market, BlackRock is advancing the iShares Ethereum Staking Trust (ticker: ETHB), and Grayscale has already enabled staking for the Ethereum Trust (ETHE).

These regulated vehicles are now routing some of their large, established asset holdings to a set of validators, converting static assets into productive ones.

From experiment to expectation

On the other hand, this change has forced an upgrade in the maturity of the entire crypto infrastructure stack.

Staking represents a new form of return on idle digital assets, but for institutions its implications go far beyond simple returns.

See also  Ethereum price drops to $3,000 as taker volume surges to new highs—what's going on?

A key driver is capital efficiency, the ability to transform static holdings into productive assets while maintaining on-chain exposure.

However, with this efficiency comes new operational complexity. Validator management, risk reduction, and reporting requirements require specialized infrastructure that retail wallets cannot support.

Additionally, strict regulatory classification and auditing requirements require staking to meet fiduciary responsibility and jurisdictional standards.

Therefore, institutions that treat staking as a robust operational process and take into account segregation, reporting, and compliance stand to gain sustainable revenue and strategic advantage.

However, companies that fail to specialize risk falling behind in an increasingly competitive and yield-driven digital asset market.

Nezhda Aliyeva, Head of Platform Products, said:

“Institutional staking is moving from experimentation to expectation. Our customers want yield, but they want it delivered with the same rigor as other financial operations: segregated, secure, and compliant.”

Pectra, plumbing, and the “Great Return”

Meanwhile, the current congestion is not just due to new funding. It is also a story of reclaiming capital.

The validator set is currently being replenished after a period of intense technical and market-driven volatility.

First, the “Pectra” network was upgraded. Among other changes, Pectra has increased the maximum valid balance for validators from 32 ETH to 2,048 ETH. This improved staking user experience allows large operators to consolidate thousands of small validators into a few larger validators.

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Ethereum Pectra upgrade begins, bringing major changes to wallet functionality

Ethereum’s Pectra upgrade raises stake limits for validators, but security and standardization concerns have surfaced.

May 7, 2025 · Oluwaperumi Adejumo

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This upgrade made it easier to restake large balances, causing a wave of operational shuffling that is now finally stabilizing.

Second, security concerns involving staking provider Kiln led to a mass breach. In accordance with API exploit prevention protocols, Kiln has launched proactive unstaking of Ethereum validators to protect client funds.

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Ethereum staking exit queue exceeds 2 million ETH following Kiln closure

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September 10, 2025 · Oluwaperumi Adejumo

While no funds on Ethereum were lost, this move forced a significant percentage of the network’s stake to exit and wait until the safety period is over. These coins are currently being rotated back and are contributing to entry congestion.

At the same time, the DeFi sector experienced a painful deleveraging.

Top DeFi crypto assets by market capitalization

According to DeFi analyst Ignace, the spike in Aave borrowing rates has forced traders who use staked Ethereum (stETH) to use the “loop” strategy to borrow more ETH to unwind their positions.

Ignace points out that this trend started with maneuvers by powerful people like Justin Sun to flush leverage out of the system.

The results can be confirmed with broader data. Figures from Dune Analytics show that the total amount of ETH deposited by investors into protocols and contracts remains relatively stable at around 36 million.

So the drama of this queue is less about a massive injection of new cash and more about the network’s “plumbing” itself being reset.

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