The economic movement has shaken the planet, with US President Donald Trump at the epicenter. He strengthens his commercial crusades with a series of tariffs that clash with powers such as China and the European Union.
Confined to uncertainty, global markets observe how tensions rise and the economy staggers. Trump promises to balance trade balance, Experts warn that prices could lead to a global recession.
“This is the worst possible scenario,” says Spanish economist Juan Ramon Laro. Trump is not pursuing “zero tariffs.” This refers to the utter elimination of imports and imports to exports between countries..
Experts believe it The US President is trying to impose a model of “zero commercial deficit”. The latter means that the value of what a country exports and imports from another country is balanced, preventing it from lacking a deficit (amount exceeding the export volume) or surplus (exports more than the problem).
but, Lalo believes that achieving a country by country is “unrealistic and impossible.”. The dynamics of international trade, characterized by different economies and productive capabilities, naturally make commercial flows unequal.
China is responding strongly. this week, Beijing imposed a 34% tax on all US importsAccording to the AP agency, purchases of sorghum from six North American companies, birds and bone meals have been restricted from six companies.
According to Fox Business, Trump described China as the “biggest abuser” on tariff issues and accused the Asian giant of ignoring his warnings.
Recession on the horizon
Spanish analysts are not shy to point out the results. Trump’s tariff measures could push the world’s largest global economy, the United States, into a recession.
And if Titan falls, the effects can be felt throughout the globe. But not everyone is looking at a dirty panorama.
Another specialist, Daniel Mbudi, nurtured in March that Trump could design a “self-recession.” strategy: Force the Federal Reserve to quickly lower interest rateslowers refinancing of public debt.
Cathie Wood, CEO of Ark Invest, shares this vision. She argues that the market is already “discounting the last stage of the ongoing recession.”
According to Wood, This context gives Trump a greater margin of operation, and prepares the basis for a “deflation boom.” Second half of 2025.
Bitcoin under pressure: fees and opportunities
Trump’s policies also shake up financial markets. The president has promised a favorable environment for cryptocurrency in his campaign; Tariffs increase production costs, reduce profit margins, and affect volatile assets such as Bitcoin.
Today, BTC fell 10% to reach its lowest level of $74,000 in 2025. You can recover up to $78,000.
Meanwhile, the Fed maintains high rates and does not plan to cut immediately. This limits appetite through risk investment. However, Fed President Jerome Powell said it could be difficult to maintain a 2% interest rate.
According to the CME Group FedWatch tool, The chances of reductions in May 2025 reach 30%. This is the fact that investors follow closely.
Interest rates play an important role in the price of Bitcoin. When the Fed cuts them, it reduces the costs of the loan, urging investors to receive the money they borrow and inject them into higher risk assets such as cryptocurrency, actions, and raw materials. This will drive demand for BTC and, as a result, increase its value.
on the contrary, High rates such as current cooling interest on these assets, push downward prices.
Still, Bitcoin resists thanks to its unique properties. The supply is limited to 21 million units, and the shortage will result in “digital gold.” Unlike the dollar, Trump could underestimate it as part of its strategy. Bitcoin offers protection against inflation and financial manipulation.
Its decentralized design makes it resistant to censorship and indistinguishability. This is a shelter in a crisis era where the government relied on to confiscate savings to clean up the deficit.
What’s more, the ability to instantly transfer every corner of the world It places it as a powerful tool against capital restrictions or deliberate weakening of Fiatcoin.
Around negotiation
Not everyone closes the door to dialogue. Facing a 46% tariff, Vietnam asked Trump for 45 days to negotiate and avoid an economic collapse that would increase American products.
He even offered to eliminate his own tariffs if Washington did the same. In Europe, the President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, repeatedly offered “zero tariffs” on industrial goods, but warned that in the absence of an agreement they were ready to respond with measures.
