Amid a broken ceasefire between Iran and Israel, Bitcoin will surge to $105,000 as tensions rise again

6 Min Read
6 Min Read

Destruction: The BBC is currently reporting the launch of a new missile from Iran at 08.30 BST, which could break the ceasefire shortly after Israel’s acceptance. Iran denied the charges.


Bitcoin returned over $105,000 early on Monday after Israel officially accepted the US-brokered ceasefire proposal.

According to the BBC, the ceasefire was declared “effective” by President Donald Trump around 06:08 BST on June 24, following the final exchange of missile strikes between Tehran and Jerusalem.

Iran confirmed that it fired a final rocket volley towards Israeli territory a few hours ago, killing four Bershevas. Tehran’s state media also reported nine civilians were killed in the Iranian city of Gilan, with 33 injured in what was described as an Israeli-led attack just before the ceasefire window.

The Israeli government has formally agreed to an armistice around 7:10 BST to achieve military targets and eliminate what it described as a double existential threat to Iran of nuclear and missile capabilities.

Bitcoin gathers as risk feelings change rapidly

When news of the ceasefire broke, Bitcoin rose to $105,155.52, winning 7.6% from the local low of nearly $98,000.

This move was consistent with the updated investor desire for risk and correlated with upward movements in other asset classes. Bitcoin’s daytime recovery coincided with a wider relief rally across the global market as fears of extension of regional conflicts subsided.

The shorts were hit hard by the rally, with more than $350 million liquidated over the past 24 hours. A total of $471 million was liquidated if long positions were included, but the majority of the liquidation has affected bets on Bitcoin.

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All crypto derivatives platforms have been shorter than 89% to 100% of liquidation.

Bitcoin Price Rally (Source: TradingView)
Bitcoin Price Rally (Source: TradingView)

Event ceasefire timeline

The announcement of the ceasefire followed a series of high stakes military and diplomatic moves. On June 22, US aircraft carried out a coordinated strike at Iran’s major nuclear facilities, crossing the red line previously set by Tehran.

According to a report from the BBC, Iran responded with a symbolic attack on a US base in Qatar on June 23, with Doha saying it had no casualties. The final and deadly attack round occurred hours before the effective start of the ceasefire. Israeli and Iranian cities maintained a direct hit that was extremely compulsive on the civilian population.

President Trump has announced a ceasefire through a true society, claiming that Iran and Israel have agreed to a “complete and complete ceasefire.” Iranian Foreign Minister Seed Abbas Aragci posted a conditional approval to X, saying that if Israel halts during the local period in Tehran, Iran will suspend military responses.

Israel halted its operations shortly after the deadline ended, and as of the early morning of June 24th, both sides began to adhere to the new conditions.

Trump wrote that both sides were approaching him “almost at the same time” and framing the ceasefire as a diplomatic victory. He thanked both countries for what they called the Road to Peace and Prosperity.

Despite escalation de-expansion, regional tensions remain unresolved. The Israeli government warned that it would respond vigorously to any violation, but Iranian media claimed that a ceasefire was “imposed” and has not been approved by formal diplomatic channels.

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Iran’s Fars News Agency initially labeled Trump’s announcement as “completely false,” but subsequent statements from authorities appeared to coincide with a de facto halt of hostility.

Markets respond to Israel/Iran’s ceasefire

Market responses reflect low relief, but the vulnerabilities underlying the ceasefire remain. Bitcoin price transfers show continuous sensitivity to real-time geopolitical events, and alignment with broader currency and commodity trends reinforces its role as a speculative barometer rather than a risk-off hedge.

Bitcoin investors are increasingly tracking geopolitical developments on volatility queues, and Monday’s price action served as a case study on how quickly the digital asset market can price with macro-level development.

All other markets have been closed and are now trading 24/7 A financial indicator of geopolitical stability. Most Bitcoiners argue that prices should rise at unpredictable times, but have yet to achieve that safe haven status.

As a decentralized self-robbery, an unfreezing asset, and an asset that can be easily transferred globally within a minute, S-Bitcoin has the full capacity to act as a flight to safety. However, current events show that the institutional adoption of Bitcoin is diluting this message as corporate whales appear to ignore this central aspect of Bitcoin.

The ceasefire continues with 12 days of hostilities that led to the deaths of airstrikes, retaliatory artillery fires and multiple civilians in both countries. The weapons are silent, but statements from both governments highlight the conditions and the possibility of a reopened conflict.

In Trump Style, he declares that he must name the war himself on social media and call it “12-day war.”

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As of press time, Bitcoin is over $105,000 and has retained ceasefire conditions, so it trades in conjunction with the Risk-On Global Environment.

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