Financial markets pass through uncertain lands, and investors’ fears clash with signs of stabilization.
Bitcoin (BTC) in the eyes of hurricanes, It shows signs of a new bullish stage, but the impact of global tariffs appears to be losing power.
In this context, you can feel metrics They reveal not only extreme attention panoramas, but also long-term opportunities For assets that are considered “risk”, Bitcoin.
Sensory metric panic
AAII Sentiment Survey, Investor Mood Thermometer, It reflects generalized pessimism.
I’ll bet mostly on the decline in the market. The current bullish/bassist derivative corresponds to the 2009 and 2022 levelssurpassing the 2020 Covid-19 crisis.
This metric measures investors’ sense of market management. It is calculated by subtracting the percentage of investors who believe the market will decline to the percentage (Bulls) they believe the market will rise.
Despite anything Bitcoin and S&P 500 are under 15%, panic is dominatedshows a report from investment company Capriole Investments.
For that part, CNN’s indicators of fear and greed have documented the worst readings over the years. These pessimism usually coincides with important opportunities for “risk” assets such as Bitcoin.
Prices may continue to fall, but the six-, 12-, or 24-month perspective tends to be favorable, but Capriol stands out. “There’s blood and fear on the streets,” the report says despite a moderate price drop.
Cryptomercado: Between Fear and Neutrality
In the fields of Bitcoin and cryptocurrency, CoinMarketCap CoinMarketCap Faric Index and Avarianeutral level. This indicator in the range of 0 (extreme fear) and 100 (extreme greed) measures the emotional pulse of the market.
Scores between 40 and 60 reflect balance without a clear area of optimism or pessimism. However, current neutrality contrasts with generalized panic captured by other metrics. It suggests a BTC market that is less convulsive than traditional ones.
this is Bitcoin has the properties that make it good long-term valuesomething investors see more clearly.
Of these, the shortage is largely outstanding, with distribution that does not exceed 21 million BTC.
It is especially appealing in crisis scenarios where governments often take money from citizens to correct the state’s deficit, as they add that it resists censorship and is indistinguishable.
Bitcoin displays upward recovery sign
Though emotions fluctuate, Bitcoin has appeared in related technological changes. The $94,000 rupture candle unleashed a major recovery in daily and weekly temporal frames yesterday. After 2 months below the $91,000-100,000 range.
“Unless we see (for example, daily closures below US$91,000, for example), it’s difficult to get a more bullish technology chart,” the company said.
According to Capriol, this “rank recovery” is confirmed Changes in trend towards bullish stage. “It’s hard to find a more bullish tech chart,” the company says, as long as the daily closure doesn’t put prices below $91,000.
This movement is not separated. According to Capriol, Bitcoin’s energy value This month it exceeded $130,000. This means a 40% discount compared to its fair value.
Historically, Bitcoin has been collecting these discounts, but such low levels after half of the time are unusual for investors to observe carefully.
The tariff dispute appears to be cold
Macroeconomic panorama also shows signal signs. As reported by Cryptonoticias, the US has reduced its reach by 50% and ordered a 90-day break after being baptized as “the day of liberation” since the global tariff was implemented on April 2nd.
Action and bond volatility forced President Donald Trump to ease his tariff ambitions, Capriol said. This set suggests that the worst tariffs could have occurred.
This adds Federal Reserve action. Since April 1 last year, the agency has reduced its balance adjustments by 95%, marking the end of the 2021-2025 quantitative adjustments.
Jerome Powell suggests a possible response to economic tensions stemming from tariffs, with CME FedWatch projecting three interest rate cuts by the end of the year.
In that part, Scott-led American treasures are ready to step in tools such as repurchase if the bond market deteriorates.
These measurements constitute what Capriol calls the “triple sales option.” Joint support from the White House, Fed and Treasury to stabilize the market. Stocks fell 15%, VX exceeded 30, and credit variation increased was enough to halt the most offensive customs policy.
Risks and Opportunities in Dynamic Markets
Despite these signals, the risk persists. Political volatility and sudden changes in macroeconomic policy represent potential threats.
However, the convergence of technical, fundamental and emotional factors indicates a positive moment for Bitcoin.
To integrate this upward trend, Prices should exceed $91,000 at weekly closing.
In particular, the Bitcoin market is moving at a high speed. Yesterday, today’s bassists are bullish and investors need to closely monitor their data and policies. Capriol emphasizes that, If Bitcoin closes one week at these levels, a new historic maximum may be visible.
