Bitcoin (BTC) is widely stable in today’s trading, moving from just 1.3% to $105,552 in the last 24 hours, to $105,552 amid ongoing tensions in the Middle East.
This remains a relatively stable month for BTC, which has won 1.6% in the last 30 days despite Trump administration tariff concerns, according to Coingecko data, but still exceeds $5,000 on May 22, 2025, shy with HIT $111,970.
There are no words yet for the ceasefire when the drone strike hit Tehran and Tel Aviv. A warning from US President Donald Trump warns that Tehran residents should “evacuate immediately.” The S&P 500 index has risen 0.94% in the last 24 hours, up 0.3% since Israel attacked Iran last Friday.
In his remarks Tuesday morning, Trump said he wanted a “real end” to the conflict between Iran and Israel and claims he sees it as “better than a ceasefire.”
Some institutional investors even recognize recent tensions as a purchase opportunity. $408.6 million went to Bitcoin ETFs on Monday, the second-highest day of the month, according to data from Farside Investors.
However, regardless of the recent stability of BTC, the majority of investors are not holding back a significant short-term increase. According to countless data from the on-chain forecast market, more than 77% of predictors do not expect BTC to exceed $107,000 today (Disclosure: Myriad Decryptionparent company Dastan).
Some analysts said Decryption The trader may have to wait for the geopolitical situation to move significantly in prices. Rajiv Sawhney, head of international portfolio management at Wave Digital Assets, hopes that BTC will remain at the $103,000-$109,000 level “until you become more clear about the US involvement in the situation and whether you need to be more involved.”
He believes that BTC is “hard in the short term” from here on, but that “large BTC liquidation is low due to excessive negotiations and excessive open interest,” and institutional investors will continue to buy BTC in the medium term.
“Risk assets are now defensive as Israel and Iran are macroeconomically and geopolitically face further escalation and contagion outlook,” he added.
How the market displays Bitcoin
Illia Otychenko, lead analyst at CEX.IO, believes that Bitcoin’s relative resilience in the ongoing Middle East tensions is “another confirmation of its increased role as a hedging asset.”
“Historically, Bitcoin tends to move first in sync with traditional risk assets during episodes of geopolitical or macroeconomic uncertainty,” he says, “when initial panic disappears, it often shows a stronger recovery.”
“There are already signs of this pattern, quickly rebounding after a brief soak of $102,000 to under $100 million,” added Otychenko.
Otychenko attributed the action to Bitcoin’s “structural optimism” and said the market was “essentially looking ahead.”
Jamie Coutts, Chief Crypto Analyst at RealVision, believes Crypto Currency’s recent stability is a sign that Bitcoin is being perceived as an increasingly “risk-on” asset.
While BTC is still treated as a risk-on asset by fast money traders, its medium to long-term trajectory is increasingly shaped by large allocators who view its emergence as non-sorbering neutral bearer assets like digital gold. That’s why they exchange it like a risk in the short term…pic.twitter.com/mvoc9lpju1
– Jamie Coutts CMT (@jamie1coutts) June 16, 2025
Coutts pointed to a surprisingly stable price path for BTC in recent years compared to the short-term surge experienced after other major geopolitical events, such as the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the collapse of the Silicon Valley Bank in March 2023, or the Taliban’s recapture of the Afghan government in 2021.
