Ark Invest CEO Catie Wood said the US economy is moving from a long-term “recession” and into a new era of productivity-driven growth that drives advances in AI, digital assets and automation.
After nearly three years of sector-specific slowdowns have been driven by more severe monetary policy, Wood is seeing signs of economic stabilization and new expansion.
Her outlook is dependent on the impact of accelerated AI and automation across the industry. She will help cut costs, increase production and control inflation even as growth resumes.
AI and automation
Wood attributes the expected economic rebound to ongoing structural transformations in both the public and private sectors driven by generative AI and machine learning.
These technologies reduce the labor strength of knowledge-based industries, reduce project timelines, and free up human capital for more valuable tasks.
As an example, she referenced the development of the US Food and Drug Administration. There, AI models have already compressed workflows over several days into minutes, indicating a shift in government productivity.
She said similar efficiencies are emerging across finance, legal, logistics and healthcare, with AI rapidly being embedded in core operations.
Wood believes this surge in digital productivity not only increases corporate margins, but also serves as a deflationary force to counter the price pressures associated with normal growth. By automating routine processes and increasing decision-making speed, businesses can scale faster without increasing input costs proportionally.
She argued that unlike previous cycles driven by consumption and credit, this growth stage is rooted in improving tangible efficiency. In her view, the US has entered a new investment climate, and the decline in inflation expectations are tailoring rapid innovations to create an ideal background for long-term capital.
Bitcoin and Tesla
At the heart of her predictions is Bitcoin (BTC), which ARK continues to see as a transformative financial asset. The company maintains its long-term price target of up to $1.5 million per coin.
Bullish forecasts are based on increased institutional participation, the role of Bitcoin as a valuable digital store, and its relevance in countries with unstable currencies.
Tesla is also one of ARK’s best conviction investments, achieving its electric car maker’s fifth year target of $2,600 per share. This prediction is based on the expected commercialization and advances in autonomous driving of an autonomous fleet.
She also sees undeveloped possibilities in Tesla’s robotics division, and believes that humanoid robots can open up global opportunities measured in trillions of dollars.
In her view, Tesla’s strengths lie in the simultaneous advancements in three key technology verticals: robotics, AI and energy systems, giving it a strategic lead in global innovation.
ARK has also increased its stocks in semiconductor and biotech companies to match long-term technological trends.
Wood predicts a broader shift from economic stagnation to stages defined by exponential innovation, scalable productivity and sustainable growth.