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Crypto Prune > News > Crypto > Bitcoin > How Bitcoin bulls make money during a recession — and why BTC could soon reach $85,000
Bitcoin

How Bitcoin bulls make money during a recession — and why BTC could soon reach $85,000

3 months ago 13 Min Read

When Bitcoin goes down, most people see numbers on their screen decreasing. Dedicated bulls quietly seize the opportunity to accumulate more sats for the next run.

Bear markets feel brutal in real time. Timelines are filled with words of capitulation, “Bitcoin is dead” posts resurface, and it sounds like the same people who were gasping for air at the top are bored again.

But historically, this is where disciplined bulls have done their best work, increasing their Bitcoin holdings while everyone else was battling fatigue.

You don’t need a quantitative toolkit to do this. With a simple framework and some basic strategies, long-term Bitcoin believers can take advantage of economic downturns and emerge. more More ready for whatever happens next than the BTC they had at their peak.


Step 1: Decide what you’re actually trying to grow

Before Bitcoin bulls get into the strategy, they need to answer a simple question. Is your goal to increase the dollar value of your portfolio or increase the number of BTC in your stack?

In a down market, these goals are pulled in different directions.

Traders who think in dollars will be tempted to sell early, buy back cheaply, and report their profits in fiat currency, even if they have less Bitcoin than they started with.

Bulls thinking in BTC are playing a different game. They want more coins by the time the next cycle reaches its all-time high, even if the market cap gets ugly along the way.

All of the tactics below make more sense when viewed through that lens. The important metric is the stack size, not the daily P&L screenshot.


Dollar cost averaging is on a downward trend, but there are rules, not atmosphere.

Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is the most boring tool in your kit and also the most undervalued tool in a down market.

The concept is simple. You decide in advance to buy a fixed amount of Bitcoin at regular intervals, for example weekly or monthly, regardless of the price. Rather than trying to guess the bottom, let time guide you through your entries as the market declines.

Where it becomes powerful for a dedicated bull is when it is combined with a written plan. The plan looks like this:

  • Every month, a certain percentage of your income or cash flow will be allocated to Bitcoin
  • Predefined purchase dates (for example, 1st and 15th)
  • Additional “dip funds” that are triggered only if the price falls below a certain pre-set level

Rules are important. When the drawdown is severe, emotions scream, “Wait a little longer, it will be cheaper tomorrow.” This trend is exactly how people miss out on the most attractive prices of the cycle. Standing orders are boring, but they will be carried out when your future self will be glad you acted.

See also  Bitcoin overheating signals will be alleviated - are the second half of the rally moving forward?

DCA serves as the foundation for the growth of the BTC stack. The rest of the strategy is on top of that.


A small, simple hedge that takes advantage of volatility

Short selling is a dirty word for many Bitcoin bulls, but a small, carefully sized hedge can protect your stack and help you accumulate even more BTC when the market declines.

You don’t need 10x leverage or a day trader’s screen to do this. One approach is to treat hedges like insurance contracts. Bulls often allocate a small portion of their Bitcoin holdings or capital to short positions during times when the market appears stretched and overheated, for example after a parabolic move or euphoric sentiment.

The logic is simple. When the price drops sharply, that short sale makes a profit. Bitcoin bulls can rotate these profits into more BTC at new lower levels instead of withdrawing them as cash. If the market shakes off the pullback and continues up, the small hedge will expire at a loss and the core long-held stocks will benefit from the trend.

The important keyword is “small”. Overhedging refers to long-term bulls accidentally turning into pure bears. The purpose here is not to bet on Bitcoin. It’s about holding on to some dry powder that responds well to sharp downward movements and recycling it into long-term holdings.


Grid trading, turning volatile markets into additional satellites

In volatile markets, faith is often lost. Prices are range bound, social feeds are quiet, and no one is sure whether the next move is a breakout or a breakout.

For Bitcoin bulls who are comfortable leaving some of their stack behind to work on clear rules, grid trading can turn dull volatility into additional coins.

The idea is to place a series of staggered buy and sell orders at preset price levels within a range. For example, imagine BTC trading between 45,000 and 30,000. Bulls may do things like:

  • Place a buy order every $2,000 during the decline and pay with stablecoins
  • Place a sell order every 2,000 points on the way up and convert your profits back into stablecoins or BTC held in another wallet

When the price fluctuates within that band, the grid automatically buys low and sells high, repeatedly generating small profits. These profits can be consolidated into additional long-term Bitcoin holdings.

See also  Bitcoiners celebrate 'Genesis Day' as US debt balloons past $38 trillion

Modern exchanges and some bots offer simple grid tools so users don’t have to manually place each order, but that convenience comes with counterparty risk. As usual, bulls who care about the survival of their stacks keep the majority of their holdings in cold storage and allocate only a defined smaller portion to active strategies.


Use choices as a shield, not the lottery.

Options are typically sold as lottery tickets on crypto Twitter, but they can also play a quiet role for Bitcoin bulls seeking protection without panic selling.

One example is purchasing put options during times of heightened uncertainty. A put option gives you the right, but not the obligation, to sell BTC at a specific price within a specific time period. The premium you pay is the same as your insurance premium. When the market crashes, those puts increase in value, creating profits that can be recycled into fresh Bitcoin at a lower price.

There are also more advanced variations, such as selling covered calls on part of the stack. In this case, you collect an option premium in exchange for agreeing to sell some BTC if the price reaches a certain level in the future. If these premiums are used judiciously, they can increase their holdings during slow periods, but bulls accept the risk of having to let go of some of their holdings if the market spikes.

Again, sizing and intent are more important than complexity. Long-term bulls aren’t trying to build a derivatives hedge fund. The role of options in this framework is to provide a modest amount of protection and occasional yield that flows back into core holdings.


Clear distinction between yield, financing, and risk

Each crypto bear market comes with its own yield story and series of crashes. From offshore lending desks to overleveraged trading firms, the lessons are consistent. Counterparty risk can undo years of careful accumulation in a single black swan.

That doesn’t mean all harvest sources are permanently off-limits. This means Bitcoin bulls who want to survive a few cycles will treat yield like a bonus rather than a baseline.

A conservative framework would look like this:

  • Self-custodialize most of your BTC, keeping it untouched and offline
  • Allocate a small, well-defined portion to low-risk yield strategies, for example regulated venues with transparent reserves.
  • Treat all yields as temporary and reversible, and plan to withdraw your funds if market conditions worsen.

The yield generated can be used to buy more spot Bitcoin on schedule or to fund other hedging strategies mentioned above. The purpose is always the same. Grow your stack while navigating occasional obstacles in the broader cryptocurrency credit system.

See also  Financial authors warn of a Great Repression style crash, is Bitcoin the answer?

Documented methodology for your next cycle

None of these strategies require expert-level trading skills. What they need is intentionality. Bitcoin bulls who emerge from bear markets with larger stacks typically have three things in place:

  1. Clear main goal, not only increase the dollars on the screen, but also increase the BTC
  2. Base layer for automatic accumulation with DCA
  3. A small number of simple, well-defined tactics to take advantage of volatility and protect the downside.

Bear markets eventually become exhausted. Sentiment bottoms out, the forced sellers disappear, and the same assets that everyone wrote off at low prices start rising again.

When that next stage arrives, the question for Bitcoin believers is simple. Did the downtrend cause your stack to shrink, or did you quietly accumulate more in preparation for the moment when the market remembered why you cared about it in the first place?

Are we in a Bitcoin bear market?

The current Bitcoin price trend is like a slow descent down the liquidity ladder.

The second half of each shelf, $112,000, then $100,000, then $90,000, then $80,000, acted like a rung on a ladder, temporarily capturing the price and then making concessions.

The market currently sits inside a broad purple band in the low $90,000s, a zone where trapped longs are exiting and fresh shorts are leaning in.

Bitcoin price channel
Bitcoin price channel

If selling pressure resumes, the next significant cluster of historical bids, market maker inventory, and ETF-era liquidity will be located around $85,000. It’s not a prophecy. It’s just the next step in the grid that Bitcoin has been respecting for over a year.

For the bull, this directional map is important because it restructures fear into structure. If the path to a deeper shelf remains clear, the market could offer an increasingly attractive set of long-term accumulation points.

Whether price rebounds early or tags into a lower band, these areas tend to see volatility compressed, sentiment peaking, and disciplined BTC-denominated thinkers quietly expanding their stacks.

In other words, direction is not about timing the bottom. It’s about knowing where opportunities tend to concentrate when everyone else is exhausted.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. The virtual currency market is unstable. Always do your own research and consult a professional before making any financial decisions.

TAGGED:Bitcoin AnalysisBitcoin NewsCoinsCrypto
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