The Bitcoin Market (BTC) and cryptocurrency live in a moment of anticipation. Bitcoin, which reached its historic max of over $112,000 last Friday and is currently stable at $109,000, continues to attract the attention of financial experts.
Fred Kruger was one of them, creating a fictional story. He speculates about a series of events that should occur, as Bitcoin shoots up to $600,000 in just 90 days.As of July 21, 2025.
This speculative exercise combines extreme economic, political and financial events that transform the global financial system. It should not be considered a prediction in the strictest sense of a word, but it can be considered one of many possible scenarios.
This scenario is worth clarifying that it will clash with recent developments, such as the executive order signed by President Donald Trump in January 2025, and will clash with recent developments, including a ban on the digital currency of the US Central Bank (CBDC). Next, we split Kruger’s fictional story and compare his vision to the real context of the market.
Starting point
Krueger marks the beginning of a bullish race, imagining the initial Bitcoin price of $150,000 on July 21, 2025.
The story involves a 300% increase in the value of the currency, with the collapse of the dollar index (DXY) from 96 to 68. Gold was fired from $330 to $10,400 per ounce – an increase of 215% – and a 50% decrease in the S&P 500 Index (SPX), representing 500 big companies in the US.
Additionally, the yield on treasure bonds for 10 years rose to 9.2% before the Federal Reserve intervenes.
nevertheless Gold has experienced a significant increase in the past, with an increase of 2,185% between 1971 and 1980.and 880% between 2001 and 2011, these movements occur in the context of high inflation or economic instability, and their prices tend to be stable during inflation control periods. The jump proposed by Kruger appears to be unrealistic for such a short period of 90 days, especially given current relative stability.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin has also registered a dramatic increase in its history. for example, Over 1,300% of the year grew in 2017, and about 300% was highly praised between 2020 and 2021..
However, he has never faced such a complex macroeconomic environment. Factors such as interest rates, tariff wars, global monetary policy, and institutional adoption interact on an unprecedented scale, making it extremely difficult to predict behavior in the short term.
Phase I: Gap (1-2 weeks)
On July 21, Kruger imagines a failed auction of $200,000 million in Treasury bonds. This happens when the government fails to sell all the bonds offered,Because of a shortage of buyers, or because the interest rates needed are too high, this reflects a loss of trust in public debt.
The Wall Street Journal newspaper would summarise it with the headline “Treasury bond buyer disappeared while acting.” The Federal Reserve hints at “extraordinary measures” and creates uncertainty.
Bitcoin jumps from $158,000 to $165,000 in 24 hours, with gold reaching $4,200 per ounce. The DXY measuring the value of the dollar against a coin basket is still 96, but it starts to weaken.
July 25th, BRICS countries They unveil an independent global payment system based on gold and bitcoin and challenge the hegemony of the dollar. It is an intergovernmental bloc originally formed by Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa, representing emerging economies with recent additions from countries such as Egypt, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Iran and the United Arab Emirates, which have had a major impact on the global economy.
Its importance in this context lies in the possibility that it will question the territory of the dollar as a global reserve currency, particularly if an alternative trading system that is independent of the Western financial system can be established. However, this scenario was ruled out by Russian President Vladimir Putin in October last year. By denying that your country is about to abandon its US dollar use in international transactions.
If Kruger’s “prediction” is met, Fed President Jerome Powell defends the robustness of the system, but the market loses confidence. Bitcoin rises at $180,000 and gold rises at $4,700, while DXY continues at a high level, but continues at bear pressure.
Phase II: The rise of collapse (weeks 3-5)
On August 4th, he predicts that analysts, the American Pension Fund will declare that it will not be able to meet the refund, and will release the panic. The Fed responds with control curve control and sets a 10-year bonus of 6.5%.
Managing yield curves is a monetary policy in which central banks such as the Fed intervene to maintain government bond yields at certain levels. To prevent interest rates from rising or falling, we buy and sell bondsit aims to stabilize financial markets.
The dollar begins to free fall and the DXY drops to 83. This reflects a significant devaluation against other currencies. Bitcoin reaches $215,000, $5,800 gold and $122 per barrel of oil.
By August 14th, Germany announces 10% gold support for the euro, and countries like Venezuela, Türkiye and Nigeria will move their foreign exchange reserves to Bitcoin.
In Venezuela, this “anticipated” (or rather imagined) movement by Kruger is in contrast to actual experiences with cryptocurrency. This country launched Petro in 2018. It is an oil-backed cryptocurrency aimed at eschewing international sanctions and stabilizing the economy opposed to Bolivar’s hyperinflation. However, the experiment failed.
In addition, according to the scenario raised by Krueger, USDT Stable Emitter Company, Tether, will be broadcasting a new currency supported by Bitcoin. Yes, Bitcoin reaches $265,000gold is $6,700 and DXY drops to 83, showing a weaker dollar at this stage.
Phase III: Mountaineering (6th to 8th week)
On September 5th, the Fed launched its “Digital Stability Unit” to explore its own digital currency (FEDCOIN), despite the fact that it signed an executive order in January 2025 banning the creation and issuance of the US Central Bank (CBDC) digital currency.
Treasury debt yields exceed 8.5% before being managed, and US real estate prices collapse 35% in three weeks.
Bitcoin, In this scenario, he will drop to $390,000, gold $8,900 and DXY will drop to 74..
Phase IV: Flight (9-11 weeks)
On September 15th, tech giants such as Apple, Tesla and Google will announce the adoption of Bitcoin for accounting balances. Apple has revealed it has acquired 200,000 BTC since April, and the US CNBC chain declares that “Bitcoin is a new oil.”
All Latin America moves to digital currency, Gold price will be promoted for $460,000, with gold falling $9,600 and SPX falling 2,700 points.
On September 25th, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) will present a new global reservation consisting of 50% Bitcoin, 30% gold, 10% yuan and other 10% assets.
The Bank of England will provide “Bitcoin-backed state bonds,” with Bitcoin reaching $525,000.
Reinice (12th to 13th week)
On October 6th, the US called up an emergency summit for the “New Bretton Woods” in Geneva. Founded in 1944, the Bretton Woods System was a global agreement to set coins in dollars and gold, creating a financial stability frame that lasted until 1971.
A reference to “New Bretton Woods” In this context, it means an attempt to restructure the global financial system, consolidating assets such as Bitcoin and gold before the crisis.
The concept of “new Bretton Woods” may be related to the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the US. Last March, President Donald Trump signed an executive order to establish this preparation using BTC confiscated by the federal government. The movement, although limited, reflects interest in integrating Bitcoin into the national strategic reserve. Like what the “New Bretton Woods” stands for, something that can be interpreted as a step towards a new global financial system.
The dollar will be rebuilt with 25% support in Bitcoin and 25% support in gold, along with the launch of the Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). However, Trump’s ban on CBDC in January 2025 is inconsistent with Fedcoin’s thinking at the Krueger stage, and the magnitude of the proposed changes remains fictitious and impossible.
The Fed’s balance is $44 billion, with Bitcoin collapses at $600,000, gold at $10,400, oil at $180 per barrel and DXY at 68.
Speculative scenarios for moderate predictions
Kruger’s story is a fictional structure, and during the acceleration brought by the narrator, it was unlikely to actually happen.
The ban on CBDC in the United States, which Trump ordered in January 2025, is directly inconsistent with the idea of Fedcoin. There is no viable historical precedent for the magnitude of economic and political change proposed by Kruger.. The Bitcoin market shows an upward impulse with a current price of $109,000, but the most conservative forecast shows a dramatic decline in growth rates.
As reported by Cryptonotics, trader Willy Woo is waiting for a rapid move at $118,000. Strategy president Michael Saylor worked for up to $180,000 in 2025, followed by a $140,000 revision. On his part, analyst David Zanoni is forecasting a price of $150,000 for October 2025.
Supported by technical and basic analyses, these estimates reflect a more careful and realistic consensus than Kruger’s fictional narration.
How does Kruger’s story tell us?
Fred Kruger’s fictional narration, unlikely by his time and size, serves a valuable function: Force your readers to think about extreme scenarios and consider vulnerabilities in the global financial system. By imagining a chain-connected event that will lead to a meteor rise from Bitcoin, Kruger invites you to explore how governments, institutions and individuals are preparing to face a massive financial crisis.
This kind of speculative exercise can also help you recognize it. Many of the foundations behind Bitcoin – Resistance to limited offers, decentralization, and censorship – They make it an evacuation tool against instability. The jump to $600,000 in 90 days is heard in science fiction sounds, but the story shows how disruptive political or financial events can accelerate Bitcoin adoption beyond the rhythms offered by traditional analysts.
Also, Kruger’s story reminds us of it Bitcoin prices are not separated from the macroeconomic context. Geopolitical tensions, central bank decisions, debt crisis, or loss of trust in a contracted currency are factors that can have a genuine and powerful effect on its value. The exaggeration of Kruger’s era should not make the underlying logic an opcha. Bitcoin is increasingly linked to destinations in the global financial system.
Finally, This story teaches us to think, not for certainty, from a scenario perspective.. Realistic predictions should be based on data, fundamentals, and technical analysis, but extreme visions do not need to be imagined to test our beliefs. Because if something has taught us from its creation, “Impossible” can take a little longer.
